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Evidence · Methodology 2026.05

Outcomes Explorer

What typically happens with different treatment choices — and with no treatment — for common dental conditions, at 1, 5, and 10 years. Every figure is an evidence-informed estimate grounded in the peer-reviewed literature and professional-body guidance.

Information, not diagnosis. These are evidence-informed, population-level estimates drawn from the peer-reviewed literature and professional-body guidance — educational ranges, not results quoted from a single study, and not a prediction for your case (California AB 3030). AI-assisted clinical content is reviewed by our Benchmark Council (California SB 1120). Always confirm treatment recommendations with a licensed dentist.

Flagship conditions

Acute Toothache / Pulpitis

Sharp or throbbing tooth pain

~15% of US adults annually

Untreated Cavity

Early decay that could progress

~30% of US adults

Periodontitis / Loose Teeth

Gum disease with bone loss

~46% of US adults

Lost Filling or Crown

Restoration failure needing replacement

~25% of restorations fail within 5yr

Wisdom Tooth Pericoronitis

Infection around an impacted tooth

~20% of wisdom-tooth carriers

How this works

High-tier evidence only

Public outcomes are shown only where the direction is supported by the strongest evidence tiers — Cochrane systematic reviews, randomized controlled trials, and meta-analyses — never vendor-sponsored or single-practice data.

The "do nothing" branch

We always show the natural history of the untreated condition so you can weigh it against active treatment.

1 / 5 / 10-year horizons

Outcomes change over time. We report short- and long-term success and risk, not a single snapshot.

Evidence-informed estimates

Each figure is a directional, rounded estimate consistent with the published literature and professional-body guidance (Cochrane Oral Health, ADA, AAE, AAP, AAOMS) — not a number quoted from one specific study.

Compliance & limitations

AB 3030: all content is information, not diagnosis. SB 1120: AI-assisted clinical content is reviewed by our clinical council. Figures are evidence-informed population-level estimates — your individual risk depends on health history, medications, and anatomy not captured in population studies. See our methodology for how these ranges are derived and reviewed.

© 2026 Smile Mentors Inc. · Reviewed by our Benchmark Council of licensed US dentists · Information, not diagnosis